In this section, we show the evolution in time of EAA and all independent variables included in the model. Displayed are some maps with the EAA and the VIIRS hotpots overlaid on the map to identify when and where the fires spread on the landscape. Technosylva has found that Extreme EAA days have proven to be historically accurate in predicting the potential for large fires.
McKinney Fire
The fire quickly burned a large area under low-moderate wind speed. However, the weather conditions were very dry with extreme values of VPD and potential of convection (CFL = 2). The fire growth matched the highest EAA values during the first 3 days. After that, the EAA index went down and the fire activity decreased.
FAIRVIEW Fire
The fire quickly burned a large area under moderate wind speed. However, the weather conditions were very dry with extreme values of VPD and potential of convection (CFL = 4 and LI < -2ºC the first day). The fire growth matched the highest EAA values during the first 2 days. After that, the EAA index went down and the fire was suppressed.
Mosquito Fire
The fire quickly burned a large area under moderate wind speed. However, the weather conditions were very dry with extreme values of VPD and high EDI (medium and long-term drought conditions). The potential of convection was moderate with CFG values of 5 but the energy released by the fire was very high. The fire growth matched the highest EAA values during the first days. After that, the EAA index went down and the fire activity decreased.